Wednesday, January 30, 2008

The Final Four & Predictions

There are only four serious candidates remaining in the 2008 presidential race: John McCain, Mitt Romney, Hillary Clinton, and Barack Obama. I think the Democrat race has more potential for an upset, but it still seems like Clinton will win. She'll nullify a humiliating loss in South Carolina by touting a meaningless (delegate-wise) win in Florida and February 5 will strengthen her, if not cripple Obama. For the GOP, McCain has momentum and Romney, while supported by institutionalists like Limbaugh, is loathed by those who've run against him. I fail to see how anyone of principle supports Romney (his 1994 campaign ring a bell?) as he seems distinctly chameleon to me.

As for Congress, the GOP just has to defend too many Senate seats to gain ground and general stagnancy hasn't yet allowed House Democrats to shoot themselves in the foot. Don't get me wrong, they've passed plenty of harebrained pieces of legislation but almost every one was mere symbolism, appealing to the fringe of the base.

The General: McCain v. Clinton

Results:
GOP keeps the White House, Democrats retain Congress.

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