New Hampshire: Half Right & Half Wrong (Like Everyone Else)

Complete Results

GOP: It played out as expected; McCain by 5.5% and Romney's last stand is Tuesday in Michigan. Huckabee won third by a point more than expected, Rudy remained on the back burner, and Paul continued to collect the 1-in-12 Pat Buchanan isolationist vote. Thompson finished with just over 1% and needs a first or second in South Carolina to extend his candidacy.

Dems: This upset was not based on one false poll; ALL the polls leading into Tuesday, coupled with Iowa's momentum, said Obama would win. Even Terry McAuliffe was sounding like part of a beaten campaign Tuesday afternoon, welcoming a staff shakeup (enter the old hands of Carville and Begala) and saying they'd go on no matter what happened. But something strange happened on the way to the ballet box; enthusiasm for Obama didn't translate into votes. Women, which he won in Iowa, chose Clinton by double digits. Add in a balmy winter day (60+ degrees compared to freezing temperatures in Iowa) and it nullified Obama's youth vote with Clinton's geriatric vote. Edwards needs to get out while he can salvage some dignity and Richardson, well, we'll soon see if he starts auditioning for chief attack dog (VP).

Bottom line: Same as I said going in...