Dems: Obama has been closing in Nevada and the court ruling allowing open caucus sites at casinos is a big plus for him. Unfortunately for him, Bill Clinton is still an effective figure in Democrat circles and his onslaughts have been relentless. I say Hillary holds on to win by 5 points. Edwards loses by double digits (again) and starts writing a withdrawal speech to be read after his inevitable thumping in South Carolina.
GOP: McCain should win but his message seems out of sync since Michigan and may allow Huckabee to pull an upset on the backs of evangelicals and nativists. Let's say Huckabee by a point or two, though it could easily be just the opposite. Thompson MUST finish third to continue, but even that doesn't seem like enough and I think he'll call it quits afterwards. Romney finishes fourth, followed by Paul and then Giuliani, who's limping all the way to Florida.
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