Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Potomic Primary In A Nutshell

Complete Results

McCain was less than dominate in Virginia (a 9 point win) because independents flocked to a competitive Democratic race (in an overall sense) instead of attending a GOP anointment. Huckabee doesn't really have a chance at VP and, by extending a lost cause, he's hurting his standing within the party. Continuing on doesn't make him look like the heir apparent; it makes him look like a sore loser.

Clinton was thoroughly routed; Maryland was the closest contest and she lost there by 23 points. I've consistently hesitated to dismiss the resiliency of the Clinton machine but, if she doesn't win Wisconsin, her campaign may collapse. The latest Ohio poll shows her up by 17%, but the same poll shows Obama picking up 20 points in two weeks while closing the gap. After a month's worth of losses (assuming Obama prevails in Wisconsin), I expect that trend to continue. If she loses Ohio and Texas, it's all over.

No comments: