Monday, February 18, 2008

The Cart Before The Horse

The prevailing political chatter, concerning the Democratic nomination, continues to focus on Texas and Ohio. "If (Clinton) loses either Texas or Ohio, this thing is done," said Clintonista James Carville. I've said much the same thing, but what's being forgotten by the punditry is Wisconsin.

If Obama wins in Wisconsin, I expect him to take one, if not both, of the major March 4th contests. Gone will be Clinton's argument about Obama only winning activist controlled caucuses, sparsely populated states, and states dominated by blacks who illogically vote for one of their own.

'Momentum' faded from the lexicon after failing to materialize after singular wins in traditional steam inducing states. After a string of decisive victories, Obama has big mo and, for Hillary, a win in Wisconsin can stunt it. The only other alternative for her is an exceedingly narrow loss followed by decimating him in the debates (unlikely unless he flubs).

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