Saturday, November 18, 2017
Tuesday, February 17, 2015
Thursday, January 26, 2012
As For Newt...
I think he'd make a very interesting Secretary of Education, maybe HHS or Interior...
Monday, January 02, 2012
2012 GOP Nominee
It's going to be Mitt Romney.
He may win Iowa, will definitely win New Hampshire and, if both those happen, will clinch things by South Carolina. A middling prediction is a 2-3 point loss in Iowa, he probably wins Florida and sews things up for sure on Super Tuesday.
Worst case: he loses Iowa, New Hampshire is close enough for someone to claim to be coming on strong, a loss in South Carolina, and a slog all the way to the Convention in Florida (late August).
Ironically (and antithetically for the GOP), a long campaign can have its value for the eventual nominee. Obama had to slug it out with Clinton; it made him a better candidate. Of course, that occurred without an incumbent sitting President waiting for an opponent.
It's going to be over before Valentine's Day.
Saturday, December 03, 2011
The Left's Made-up Wars
Gingrich's War on Poor Children - Charles Blow, New York Times
The GOP's War on Labor Unions - Harold Meyerson, Washington Post
What happened to the chiding Obama gave us on rhetoric?
Wednesday, October 19, 2011
Michele Bachmann: Military as an International Mercenary Force
From last night's debate:
Q: Should we cut foreign aid to Israel?
...
A: "Cutting back on foreign aid is one thing, being reimpursed by nations that we have liberated is another. We should look to Iraq and Libya to reimpurse us for part of what we have done to liberate these nations."
This lady is all kinds of crazy.
Tuesday, October 11, 2011
Monday, October 10, 2011
Saturday, October 08, 2011
Tuesday, October 04, 2011
Friday, September 23, 2011
Tuesday, September 20, 2011
Saturday, September 17, 2011
Thursday, September 15, 2011
Wednesday, September 14, 2011
Sunday, September 11, 2011
Saturday, September 10, 2011
Friday, September 09, 2011
Thursday, September 08, 2011
Wednesday, September 07, 2011
Tuesday, September 06, 2011
Wasserman Schultz: "Republicans Who Think The Recovery Act Didn't Work Are Wrong"
3.6 million jobs for $787 billion? $215,000 per job? That's success?
Monday, September 05, 2011
Sunday, September 04, 2011
Friday, September 02, 2011
Thursday, September 01, 2011
Wednesday, August 31, 2011
Tuesday, August 30, 2011
Monday, August 29, 2011
Saturday, August 27, 2011
Friday, August 26, 2011
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Monday, August 22, 2011
Sunday, August 21, 2011
Saturday, August 20, 2011
Friday, August 19, 2011
Thursday, August 18, 2011
Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Monday, August 15, 2011
Saturday, August 13, 2011
Sunday, August 07, 2011
Saturday, August 06, 2011
Friday, August 05, 2011
Monday, July 25, 2011
Bachmann Schools Pawlenty
Bachmann Schools Pawlenty
I thought the 1st GOP debate was make or break for T-Paw. It's looking more and more like it broke him.
Sunday, July 24, 2011
Saturday, July 16, 2011
Friday, July 15, 2011
Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Monday, July 11, 2011
Sunday, July 10, 2011
Saturday, July 09, 2011
Friday, July 08, 2011
Not So Bold GOP Nominee Prediction
Romney is going to win the 2012 nomination. He was the runner-up in 2008 (sorry Huckabee, staying in way too long to collect delegates doesn't elevate you) and a good soldier after withdrawing. That makes it his turn, whether he can win or not.
Thursday, July 07, 2011
Eric Holder must explain 'Fast & Furious'--Michael Walsh - NYPOST.com
Holder is a disgraceful AG. Can you imagine the press uproar if this scandal happened under a GOP president?
Eric Holder must explain 'Fast & Furious'--Michael Walsh - NYPOST.com
Eric Holder must explain 'Fast & Furious'--Michael Walsh - NYPOST.com
Tuesday, July 05, 2011
Monday, July 04, 2011
Sunday, July 03, 2011
Saturday, July 02, 2011
Tuesday, June 28, 2011
Sunday, June 19, 2011
Monday, June 13, 2011
Tonight, Michele Bachmann Announces....
That she is running for VICE President. There is no way in hell a neophyte female congressman wins the GOP nomination. The only reason Palin is considered (by some) acceptable is because she ran in 2008. It was an out-of-left-field gamble by McCain and it backfired because Palin brought nothing to the table after the shock value wore off, save her convention speech. Bachmann could shine and get on the ticket, but it won't be on the top.
Sunday, May 15, 2011
UPDATE: Twenty One Names For 2012
Daniels is out.
John Thune- Jon Huntsman
- David Petraeus (probably not running)
- Tim Pawlenty
Paul RyanMitch Daniels- Rick Perry
- Bobby Jindal
- Mike Pence
Haley Barbour- Jim DeMint
- Judd Gregg
- Mitt Romney
Mike Huckabee- Newt Gingrich
- Ron Paul
- Jeb Bush
- Herman Cain
- Rick Santorum
- Sarah Palin
- Michele Bachmann
Saturday, May 07, 2011
UPDATE: Twenty One Names For 2012
Updated, but those who drop out will be left where they were at that time.
John Thune- Jon Huntsman
- David Petraeus (probably not running)
- Tim Pawlenty
Paul Ryan- Rick Perry
- Bobby Jindal
- Mike Pence
Haley Barbour- Jim DeMint
- Mitch Daniels
- Judd Gregg
- Mitt Romney
- Mike Huckabee
- Newt Gingrich
- Ron Paul
- Jeb Bush
- Herman Cain
- Rick Santorum
- Sarah Palin
- Michele Bachmann
Tuesday, May 03, 2011
First Debate for 2012 GOP Nomination
Only 5 candidates will be there and Tim Pawlenty is the only serious one among them. Thursday is make or break for his candidacy. He will come out golden or sullen; there is no middle ground.
Ron Paul will tickle my libertarian side and Rick Santorum will undoubtedly say at least 2 things on social policy that will make cringe. Gary Johnson will say something ridiculous regarding foreign policy and the over/under is 43 minutes on when Herman Cain forgets that it's not his radio show and he isn't the host.
I'm pulling for you, Tim. Petraeus isn't going to run, Huntsman is still in the shadows, and Perry doesn't seem interested either.
UPDATE: Twenty One Names For 2012
John Thune- Jon Huntsman
- David Petraeus
- Rick Perry
Paul Ryan- Tim Pawlenty
- Bobby Jindal
- Mike Pence
- Haley Barbour
- Jim DeMint
- Mitch Daniels
- Judd Gregg
- Mitt Romney
- Mike Huckabee
- Newt Gingrich
- Ron Paul
- Jeb Bush
- Herman Cain
- Michele Bachmann
- Sarah Palin
- Rick Santorum
Thune is out. Ryan said he's out.
Sunday, January 23, 2011
Twenty One Names For 2012
It's too early to rank these candidates by their prospects for winning the nomination, so I will rank them by my personal preference. I take electability into account (sorry Newt).
- John Thune
- Jon Huntsman
- David Petraeus
- Rick Perry
- Paul Ryan
- Tim Pawlenty
- Bobby Jindal
- Mike Pence
- Haley Barbour
- Jim DeMint
- Mitch Daniels
- Judd Gregg
- Mitt Romney
- Mike Huckabee
- Newt Gingrich
- Ron Paul
- Jeb Bush
- Herman Cain
- Michele Bachmann
- Sarah Palin
- Rick Santorum
Sunday, October 10, 2010
Thursday, May 06, 2010
Ideal V. Reality
Every organization (whether athletic, corporate, and especially military) wants individuals who will reply "Affirmative" and get the job done. Anytime questioning, poignant or otherwise, interferes with organizational fluidity, it creates disturbances. They create further questioning which, of course, creates further disturbance. Welcome to the rat race.
Tuesday, May 04, 2010
It's Gonna Be A Landslide
The GOP will definitely take back the House in 2010 and pick up a few Senate seats, though not enough for a majority.
Sunday, November 01, 2009
'Too Big To Fail' Means Too Big
As Obama starts to verbalize the economic recovery, Republicans are in a strong position to dominate the debate by continuing populist themes. It could be argued that Bush's TARP was necessary to avert calamity, and his mistake was consolidating, not smashing 'too big to fail' banking monopolies. Positive market movement during the last two quarters can be attributed to those financial stabilization measures, though a fresh faced President did lead to some optimism. But as his policies are becoming clear, the market is weighing the true breadth of Obama's economy and it is pausing. Obama is now claiming his $787 billion stimulus is making a huge impact, but little has been spent. The most significant impact has been on America's credit card bill and our credit rating.
Thursday, July 30, 2009
Saturday, July 25, 2009
Friday, July 24, 2009
Always Wait Til The End & Told You So
I should have waited to call Obama's goof, because he dropped a doozy a few minutes later.
It is becoming clear that health care either a) won't pass or b) will past in the fall and ruin Democrats in 2010, mostly districts where they've won with conservative candidates.
It is becoming clear that health care either a) won't pass or b) will past in the fall and ruin Democrats in 2010, mostly districts where they've won with conservative candidates.
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Obama's Big Goof
With about 10 minutes remaining in his news conference, President Obama intimated that doctors choose procedures based on the price rather than patient need. Thought it was first do no harm?
My read on Obama's health care plan? It's going down in flames.
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
Supreme Court Hearings
Just some thoughts:
- Jon Kyl (AZ) was impressive and had Sotomayor flummoxed, stuttering with her words and stumbling over her own logic.
- Lindsey Graham (SC) started aggressive but never followed-up, letting Sotomayor off the hook by moving on and hedging with surprising honest statements that concede she's a shoo-in for conformation. Points for being frank?
- Sotomayor handled the Democrat softballs, but did not impress me as she had trouble recalling her canned lines, struggled under intense GOP questioning (which she must have prepared for), and consistently contradicting a clearly defined ideological pattern of her own making.
Monday, July 13, 2009
Sunday, July 12, 2009
Friday, July 10, 2009
Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Sarah Palin
If my 14 year old daughter became the subject of late night rape jokes, I'd quit politics too. I think she's got a better chance of running for the Senate (and winning) in 2010 on a "I'll give Washington a kick in the ass" platform. As for any presidential ambition she may have, she clearly has a personal appeal to social conservatives which is heighten by the liberal media's contempt. I was thoroughly unimpressed by her performance last fall, as she was an not asset on any issue (other than appealing to social conservatives). I still don't see her winning the nomination in 2012 with the economy as the defining issue. She'd definitely be a better candidate if she waits til 2016 but I wouldn't be surprised if she had entirely disappears from politics by then.
Friday, July 03, 2009
Second Stimulus
I actually agree with Krugman that we need more stimulus. But what he'll never say, and I'd what insist upon, is that it should be in the form of small business incentives and tax cuts. It should encourage employment in every form and tax the little guy less for creating jobs (collect from ALL workers). When the government just hands out from a big pot of money, it encourages fraud and cronyism.
Friday, June 26, 2009
Sunday, June 21, 2009
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Thursday, January 22, 2009
2008 Election Recap: Sarah Palin
I think Rollins was right in everything but his conclusion (Palin was not an asset on domestic or energy issues). My reading was fairly accurate, except Obama didn't over-reach with overt attacks (the whisper campaign was full blast) and McCain was too much of a statesman to hit Obama in the knees. Then add the market correction and you realize McCain would have been better off with Romney or Portman.
Monday, January 05, 2009
Anthony Fasano: Elite NFL Tight End
This is the second installment in an "I Told You So" series.
Related: NFL: Fasano Is Coming...
Tuesday, November 25, 2008
Wednesday, November 05, 2008
Saturday, October 11, 2008
Market Mindset With Visual Perspective
Can't you understand what's happening here? Don't you see what's happening? Potter isn't selling. Potter's buying! And why? Because we're panicky and he's not. That's why. He's pickin' up some bargain. Now, we can get through this thing all right. We've, we've got to stick together, though. We've got to have faith in each other.
Graphs from http://www.thedigeratilife.com/blog/index.php/2007/07/09/historical-financial-charts-are-you-invested-in-these-markets/
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Monday, September 15, 2008
Thursday, September 11, 2008
Saturday, August 30, 2008
McCain: Crazy Like A Fox?
With the dynamic pick of Sarah Palin, John McCain has me wondering if he's just crafty enough to win this election (especially with the campaign's new leadership). Rattling off a month's worth of media victories, the McCain camp stole the thunder from Barack's "Sermon on the Mountain." In it, Obama displayed all the characteristics of a seasoned Chicago pol, attacking McCain in an explicit rejection of his 'unity' rhetoric. But McCain was again a step ahead, announcing Palin the next morning. And once again, team Obama has stepped into the bear trap.
By attacking the #2's inexperience ('mayor of only 9,000' dovetails nicely with 'cling to guns & religion'), Obama exposes their flank yet again. It's an attack that undermines Obama's entire candidacy and since Dems attacked first, the GOP is free to unload on Obama's neophyte status. McCain's apparent slip about his houses artfully opened the door to mention Rezko, unlike Hillary's crass, unsuccessful attempt. Obama's VP announcement and conciliatory convention allowed McCain to use Biden and Hillary in concise, tactically effective ads, pinning their own words against them. McCain's campaign has been one step ahead, and Obama continues to engage in 'old politics' and Democrats laud him for toughening up.
Palin, whos ethics reform, I'm sure, has made her plenty of enemies is already being attacked about a pending corruption case. McCain must have assurances about the outcome, and winning the case means the ticket's narrative against graft is sharpened. I expect the GOP to rehash Jeremiah Wright when Obama goes after McCain on personal associations (read: Keating Five). McCain seem to understand his weaknesses and turn them to advantages when Obama pounces.
Aside: The shameless Paul Begala is now openly, and repeatedly, implying John McCain is likely to soon die. In three sentences yesterday, he twice said McCain, "is 72 and had cancer four times," to discredit Palin's qualifications. Dems better pray the youth comes out, because that attack will drive seniors to the fox, John McCain.
Related: Henry Rollins on Palin's Selection
By attacking the #2's inexperience ('mayor of only 9,000' dovetails nicely with 'cling to guns & religion'), Obama exposes their flank yet again. It's an attack that undermines Obama's entire candidacy and since Dems attacked first, the GOP is free to unload on Obama's neophyte status. McCain's apparent slip about his houses artfully opened the door to mention Rezko, unlike Hillary's crass, unsuccessful attempt. Obama's VP announcement and conciliatory convention allowed McCain to use Biden and Hillary in concise, tactically effective ads, pinning their own words against them. McCain's campaign has been one step ahead, and Obama continues to engage in 'old politics' and Democrats laud him for toughening up.
Palin, whos ethics reform, I'm sure, has made her plenty of enemies is already being attacked about a pending corruption case. McCain must have assurances about the outcome, and winning the case means the ticket's narrative against graft is sharpened. I expect the GOP to rehash Jeremiah Wright when Obama goes after McCain on personal associations (read: Keating Five). McCain seem to understand his weaknesses and turn them to advantages when Obama pounces.
Aside: The shameless Paul Begala is now openly, and repeatedly, implying John McCain is likely to soon die. In three sentences yesterday, he twice said McCain, "is 72 and had cancer four times," to discredit Palin's qualifications. Dems better pray the youth comes out, because that attack will drive seniors to the fox, John McCain.
Related: Henry Rollins on Palin's Selection
Sunday, August 24, 2008
Two Tent-Pole Issues (And Then Some)
First, the death penalty:
As a younger man, I concluded ‘an eye for an eye’ was about right, but my translation has since evolved. When murders kill, a life is lost. My position on God-given liberties intertwines, and now I believe the government has no business taking life. A government killing its citizens is immoral. Man has no certainty concerning life. Society’s worst should rot in dark cells, thinking about their grievance until their natural death. This puts me at odds with the GOP and polled Americans, but it’s where I stand.
9/11, Terrorism, Defense Policy in General:
There are Democrats who’ve concluded shortcomings in Iraq require a tactical retreat. They argue for more troops in Afghanistan (John McCain has lobbied for more troops from NATO for years), and they’re right, but they hold a cynical position. The left flank is full of doves, singing for world peace at any cost as reality (read: the world’s armies) takes it claim. The “peace divided” gave this country 20 million jobs, as Clintonistas are quick to point out while conveniently forgetting that a GOP tax plan that fostered the growth, and cost three thousand civilian lives. Now we have a choice of winning crucial battles in a war we weren't prepared for, or losing them. Democrats, especially their hard left, are calling for peace despite its consequence, and I fear the American public will not understand the entirety of the situation until a city is leveled. I guess that makes me a fear-monger, and Democrats are all too happy to paint anyone who takes our enemies seriously as such. Again, it’s cynical and a misplaced attack.
In a side note: the blatancy of camp Obama’s inference that somehow John McCain has Alzheimer’s is insulting and offensive. Saying he’s confused, forgetful, or “lost track,” is an insidious attack, the type Obama claim to be above. Surprise, surprise, Obama lied (google: obama positions reversal for 1.6 million results!)
It’s an election of stark contrasts, that’s for sure.
As a younger man, I concluded ‘an eye for an eye’ was about right, but my translation has since evolved. When murders kill, a life is lost. My position on God-given liberties intertwines, and now I believe the government has no business taking life. A government killing its citizens is immoral. Man has no certainty concerning life. Society’s worst should rot in dark cells, thinking about their grievance until their natural death. This puts me at odds with the GOP and polled Americans, but it’s where I stand.
9/11, Terrorism, Defense Policy in General:
There are Democrats who’ve concluded shortcomings in Iraq require a tactical retreat. They argue for more troops in Afghanistan (John McCain has lobbied for more troops from NATO for years), and they’re right, but they hold a cynical position. The left flank is full of doves, singing for world peace at any cost as reality (read: the world’s armies) takes it claim. The “peace divided” gave this country 20 million jobs, as Clintonistas are quick to point out while conveniently forgetting that a GOP tax plan that fostered the growth, and cost three thousand civilian lives. Now we have a choice of winning crucial battles in a war we weren't prepared for, or losing them. Democrats, especially their hard left, are calling for peace despite its consequence, and I fear the American public will not understand the entirety of the situation until a city is leveled. I guess that makes me a fear-monger, and Democrats are all too happy to paint anyone who takes our enemies seriously as such. Again, it’s cynical and a misplaced attack.
In a side note: the blatancy of camp Obama’s inference that somehow John McCain has Alzheimer’s is insulting and offensive. Saying he’s confused, forgetful, or “lost track,” is an insidious attack, the type Obama claim to be above. Surprise, surprise, Obama lied (google: obama positions reversal for 1.6 million results!)
It’s an election of stark contrasts, that’s for sure.
Two Major Obama Goofs
First is Joe Biden. The over/under for Biden-based blunders, over the next ten weeks, is three. He's a capable attack dog, but tends to froth and foam long after it's beneficial. Obama will regret this choice if he loses, but not as much as another mistake if he wins...
Alienating Charlie Rangel, who effectively controls tax policy, by not offering him a speaking role at the convention will hamstring Obama's ability to govern, even with Democratic majorities. A man who claims to promote 'Unity' can't even assuage his own party, let alone an ideologically divided nation.
Alienating Charlie Rangel, who effectively controls tax policy, by not offering him a speaking role at the convention will hamstring Obama's ability to govern, even with Democratic majorities. A man who claims to promote 'Unity' can't even assuage his own party, let alone an ideologically divided nation.
Monday, August 18, 2008
VP Picks
First, the Democrats:
If Obama has visions of 300 electoral votes, with Virginia as his crown jewel, he'll pick Tim Kaine (though I bet he'd rather have Mark Warner). If he has any sense, it'll be Evan Bayh (though I admit my bias). Picking Joe Biden is a colossal mistake; regret would set in before a week ended.
My gut tells me Obama is dreaming of a blowout, so he'll pick Kaine.
The Republicans:
I have never understood the fascination with Tom Ridge and that idea sank fast last week after McCain floated it. Jindal is far too young, Crist probably should get it but won't because of the visual, and Carly Fiorina is a deposed CEO (attack: incompetent) of a major company (attack: evil) who's performed well but would better serve elsewhere. Which leaves, really, the only two logical choices...
Mitt Romney - someone I've spoken about before - is a proven campaigner, a serious fundraiser (filtered through the RNC), an economic whiz, and fully vetted. Despite a bitter primary, he's been a strong advocate for McCain since conceding defeat, and he conceded without an extended denouement. He's roots in Michigan make the state interesting (buoyed by Kwame Kilpatrick's troubles) and his Mormonism is an asset in Colorado and Nevada. If all three are carried, Indiana, Iowa, and New Mexico could turn blue from 2004 and McCain would still win (with Michigan as an offset). It very tempting to pick Romney, very tempting...
I think it should be Rob Portman. The guy is grade-A technocrat whose insights on the budget process would be invaluable for McCain's favorite pet project (cutting pork) and make the process more efficient and transparent. His economic prowess and mid-western charm sure up Ohio and while making a difference in Iowa (the only state McCain needs to flip based on current polling) and the entire rust belt. Basically, if McCain can carry Colorado and Nevada on his own (which he should), Portman becomes a bigger asset with less baggage.
Still, it'll be Romney.
Note: I did write a paragraph about Pawlenty, but my computer decided to freeze. I'll just say he's basically a poor-man's Portman, and less likely to carry states than either Portman or Romney.
If Obama has visions of 300 electoral votes, with Virginia as his crown jewel, he'll pick Tim Kaine (though I bet he'd rather have Mark Warner). If he has any sense, it'll be Evan Bayh (though I admit my bias). Picking Joe Biden is a colossal mistake; regret would set in before a week ended.
My gut tells me Obama is dreaming of a blowout, so he'll pick Kaine.
The Republicans:
I have never understood the fascination with Tom Ridge and that idea sank fast last week after McCain floated it. Jindal is far too young, Crist probably should get it but won't because of the visual, and Carly Fiorina is a deposed CEO (attack: incompetent) of a major company (attack: evil) who's performed well but would better serve elsewhere. Which leaves, really, the only two logical choices...
Mitt Romney - someone I've spoken about before - is a proven campaigner, a serious fundraiser (filtered through the RNC), an economic whiz, and fully vetted. Despite a bitter primary, he's been a strong advocate for McCain since conceding defeat, and he conceded without an extended denouement. He's roots in Michigan make the state interesting (buoyed by Kwame Kilpatrick's troubles) and his Mormonism is an asset in Colorado and Nevada. If all three are carried, Indiana, Iowa, and New Mexico could turn blue from 2004 and McCain would still win (with Michigan as an offset). It very tempting to pick Romney, very tempting...
I think it should be Rob Portman. The guy is grade-A technocrat whose insights on the budget process would be invaluable for McCain's favorite pet project (cutting pork) and make the process more efficient and transparent. His economic prowess and mid-western charm sure up Ohio and while making a difference in Iowa (the only state McCain needs to flip based on current polling) and the entire rust belt. Basically, if McCain can carry Colorado and Nevada on his own (which he should), Portman becomes a bigger asset with less baggage.
Still, it'll be Romney.
Note: I did write a paragraph about Pawlenty, but my computer decided to freeze. I'll just say he's basically a poor-man's Portman, and less likely to carry states than either Portman or Romney.
Wednesday, August 06, 2008
Will The Real Barak Obama Please Stand Up?
Barack Obama's Lost Years - Stanley Kurtz
Big donors are the key to Obama's record haul
The second article is an expansion of what I was talking about here.
Big donors are the key to Obama's record haul
The second article is an expansion of what I was talking about here.
Tuesday, August 05, 2008
Two Tales Of Pandering
Tactically tapping the strategic petroleum reserve (note the title: strategic) is as dangerous as a gas-tax holiday is stupid. Neither provide systemic price relief; both compound existing problems, whether it's exacerbating genuine emergencies that require the SPR or our inadequate transportation system's funding.
Liberal & Tolerant: When Synonyms Collide
My concerns for America - Jon Voight
Add Voight to Hollywood's Blacklist - Andrew Breitbart
My title may be outdated; the left has morphed the 'liberal' moniker into a 'progressive' denotation. The latter may be more apropos with 'imperfect' as a listed synonym, dovetailing with 'fallible', 'frail', and 'weak'.
Add Voight to Hollywood's Blacklist - Andrew Breitbart
My title may be outdated; the left has morphed the 'liberal' moniker into a 'progressive' denotation. The latter may be more apropos with 'imperfect' as a listed synonym, dovetailing with 'fallible', 'frail', and 'weak'.
Sunday, August 03, 2008
Tuesday, July 29, 2008
Free Advice For John McCain
Roll out a detailed tax plan - Continue to promote pro-growth policies while fending off "third Bush term" attacks by pointing to your specific proposals that differ from current law. Stop supporting "Bush's tax cuts"; start advancing the "McCain tax policy." We've less than 100 days until the election and it's time to start mapping out an administration for the public.
Friday, July 25, 2008
100 Days: McCain's Big Chance
If John McCain can start laying out the basics of his would-be administration, he can win...
Sunday, July 20, 2008
Two Bits Of Baloney
- Maliki's Timeline: Dems (and the press) are regurgitating the recent statement without any context. It's clearly meant for domestic consumption, as Maliki positions himself for Iraqi elections later this year. According to left-wing chatter, his statement is hard and fast but virtually every position Obama held during the primary is subject to refinement. Aside: notice how Obama couches every statement in maybes, mights, possibles, perhaps, and I think.
- Obama's "Small Donor" Defense: After brushing aside something he supposedly believes in (public financing), Obama continually trots out populist justifications, talking about the measly average donation they receive (under $200 is their preferred metric). In 2004, Bush averaged $116 from 1.3 million donors but no media outlets assumed that was a populist venture (read: double standard). More than half of Obama's money comes from trial lawyers, lobbyists, big labor, real estate moguls, and other special interests.
Thursday, July 17, 2008
Tuesday, July 15, 2008
Tuesday, July 01, 2008
Wednesday, June 25, 2008
Tuesday, June 24, 2008
Saturday, May 31, 2008
Friday, May 23, 2008
DNC Absurdity
"It is laughable for the campaign to release so little information and say they are being transparent," said Karen Finney, the communications director for the Democratic National Committee. "This is another indication that John McCain is not serious when he says he wants to run a transparent campaign, and a disturbing sign that a vote for John McCain is a vote for four more years of secrecy."This in regard to Cindy McCain, whose name is not printed on a single ballot, only releasing two pages of her personal tax return. The attack campaign is in full swing (in both directions) if you haven't noticed. So much for 'new politics.'
Sunday, May 18, 2008
High Gas Prices: Blame The SUV
With all the screaming about the price of gas these days, what's conveniently forgotten is the raging popularity SUV's recently enjoyed. These oversized conveyances driven by feckless individuals, who rationalized their opulence with a false sense of safety, were ubiquitous for over a decade.
Now, with higher prices, the marketplace is working out the problem; consumers are buying more fuel efficient vehicles and manufacturers are providing more options for purchase. For Democrats, dreaded free market sorcery is (again) ruining their rhetoric.
So the next time someone complains about the price of gas, tell them to check their driveway. The Democrats demonize big oil companies for high prices, but it's our own hypocrisy that's to blame.
RELATED:
DPF: Gas Prices
DPF: Oil Supply
Information on SUV sales
Now, with higher prices, the marketplace is working out the problem; consumers are buying more fuel efficient vehicles and manufacturers are providing more options for purchase. For Democrats, dreaded free market sorcery is (again) ruining their rhetoric.
So the next time someone complains about the price of gas, tell them to check their driveway. The Democrats demonize big oil companies for high prices, but it's our own hypocrisy that's to blame.
RELATED:
DPF: Gas Prices
DPF: Oil Supply
Information on SUV sales
Wednesday, May 14, 2008
Wednesday, April 23, 2008
Right On The Money Economically
About that 2nd Depression
Economic Recovery Already Underway - Donald Luskin
One salient line from the second article: "Since the panic bottom a month ago yesterday, the S&P 500 has returned 7.1%." Just like I said...
Economic Recovery Already Underway - Donald Luskin
One salient line from the second article: "Since the panic bottom a month ago yesterday, the S&P 500 has returned 7.1%." Just like I said...
Friday, April 11, 2008
Obama's Definition Of Success In Iraq
"(If) our criteria is a messy, sloppy status quo, but there’s not huge outbreaks of violence, there’s still corruption but the country is struggling along, but it’s not a threat to its neighbors and it’s not an al Qaeda base, that seems to me an achievable goal within a measured time frame," said Barack Obama on April 8th during the Petraeus hearing with Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
Sounded like a messy, sloppy, struggling answer to this observer...
Sounded like a messy, sloppy, struggling answer to this observer...
Thursday, April 10, 2008
Friday, March 28, 2008
Democrats v. McCain & The Horse Race
The 100 Year Lie - Charles Krauthammer
McCain's Foreign Policy Tested Over Time - David Brooks
Hillary Has Made the Right Call - Chuck Todd
McCain's Foreign Policy Tested Over Time - David Brooks
Hillary Has Made the Right Call - Chuck Todd
Tuesday, March 18, 2008
The 'Crisis' And Obama's Hubris
7 Questions About the Financial Crisis - David Brooks
An Elegant Farce: Let Obama Enlighten You - Victor Davis Hanson
An Elegant Farce: Let Obama Enlighten You - Victor Davis Hanson
Friday, March 14, 2008
Odierno On Iraq
The Surge in Iraq: One Year Later - Lt. Gen. Raymond Odierno
I'd like you to remember the Democrats' reaction to the community outpost strategy when first enunciated: it would only create more American targets and leave soldiers perilously exposed. They couldn't have gotten it more wrong...
I'd like you to remember the Democrats' reaction to the community outpost strategy when first enunciated: it would only create more American targets and leave soldiers perilously exposed. They couldn't have gotten it more wrong...
Thursday, March 13, 2008
Now We've Reached The Nadir
Recession Gloom Gathers - WSJ
It's always darkest before the dawn... The perception of recession will drive some speculation out of the oil market, eventually reducing prices by 20-35%.
The effect of housing crunch is priced into the market by this point and will subside by summer (think: newly married couple finding cheap homes). The perils of accessing (and relying on) home equity have been acute and should been a violent reminder to pursue a strategy based on personal savings and a diverse portfolio.
It's always darkest before the dawn... The perception of recession will drive some speculation out of the oil market, eventually reducing prices by 20-35%.
The effect of housing crunch is priced into the market by this point and will subside by summer (think: newly married couple finding cheap homes). The perils of accessing (and relying on) home equity have been acute and should been a violent reminder to pursue a strategy based on personal savings and a diverse portfolio.
Wednesday, March 05, 2008
Texas & Ohio: Lesson Learned (Again)
Attacks, even against a media darling, work (think: read phone, change you can xerox).
As for a paired ticket, there is no way Hillary would run as Obama's VP. Clinton will be resigned to a long career in the Senate. I see the logic of the reverse, but I don't see it happening, especially with a protracted battle ensuing. Sometime ago, I heard that she'd appoint Obama to the Supreme Court if she won the general election. I think that's more likely than them running together.
As for a paired ticket, there is no way Hillary would run as Obama's VP. Clinton will be resigned to a long career in the Senate. I see the logic of the reverse, but I don't see it happening, especially with a protracted battle ensuing. Sometime ago, I heard that she'd appoint Obama to the Supreme Court if she won the general election. I think that's more likely than them running together.
Tuesday, March 04, 2008
Trade & Getting Troops To Afghanistan
Democrats' Trade Rhetoric is Dangerous - Fareed Zakaria
A Surge To Help Afghanistan - Sen. Joe Lieberman
As far as Afghanistan goes, story after story has been written about how NATO allies have continually failed to support the operation with combat forces and I doubt much will change. Frankly, it's validates that we were never 'All Americans' as Le Monde stated (that reference is constantly pointed to as proof that Bush squandered the world's goodwill. "The world was with us after 9/11," says Hillary Clinton. "We have so squandered that good will and we've got to rebuild it." What a load of hogwash).
A Surge To Help Afghanistan - Sen. Joe Lieberman
As far as Afghanistan goes, story after story has been written about how NATO allies have continually failed to support the operation with combat forces and I doubt much will change. Frankly, it's validates that we were never 'All Americans' as Le Monde stated (that reference is constantly pointed to as proof that Bush squandered the world's goodwill. "The world was with us after 9/11," says Hillary Clinton. "We have so squandered that good will and we've got to rebuild it." What a load of hogwash).
Thursday, February 28, 2008
No Bloomberg, But A Great Openning
I'm Not Running for President, but... - Michael Bloomberg
Opening paragraph:
Opening paragraph:
Watching the 2008 presidential campaign, you sometimes get the feeling that the candidates — smart, all of them — must know better. They must know we can’t fix our economy and create jobs by isolating America from global trade. They must know that we can’t fix our immigration problems with border security alone. They must know that we can’t fix our schools without holding teachers, principals and parents accountable for results. They must know that fighting global warming is not a costless challenge. And they must know that we can’t keep illegal guns out of the hands of criminals unless we crack down on the black market for them.
Tuesday, February 26, 2008
Trade, Lobbyists, And False Hope
NAFTA Nonsense: Obama's Silly Mexico-Bashing - Rich Lowry
The Reality of McCain's Lobbying Record - David Brooks
The Problem with the 'Politics of Hope' - Fred Siegel
The Reality of McCain's Lobbying Record - David Brooks
The Problem with the 'Politics of Hope' - Fred Siegel
Sunday, February 24, 2008
The Anti-Democratic Party v. Ralph Nader
Mr. Nader gave a great answer to the absurd "He cost Gore the election in 2000" claim. I like to point out, as he does, that if Mr. Gore had carried his home state of Tennessee, Florida would have been irrelevant.
(T)he political bigotry that's involved here is that we shouldn't enter the electoral arena? We, all of us who, who, who think that the country needs an infusion of freedom, democracy, choice, dissent should just sit on the sidelines and watch the two parties own all the voters and turn the government over to big business? What's really important here is, if you want to look at it analytically, is there--Mr. Gore would, would tell you if he won Tennessee, anything else being equal, he would've been president. It's his home state. If he won Arkansas, everything else being equal, he would've been president. The mayor of Miami sabotaged the Democrats because of a grudge, didn't bring thousands of votes out. Quarter of a million Democrats voted for Bush in Florida. There is all kinds of thievery in Florida.So why do they blame the Greens? Why do they blame the people all over the country who are trying to have a progressive platform, not just the environment. What was their crime? Why, why, why isn't there tolerance for candidates' rights the way there is a building tolerance over the last 50 years for voter rights? Because without voter rights, candidate rights don't mean much. And without candidate rights--more voices and choices--voter rights don't mean much. I--I'm amazed at the liberal intelligencia here. They are analytic and they deal with all kinds of variables, but when it comes to 2000 election, it's just one variable.
Start at (3:10) for his response in it's entirety.
Right Out Of Karl Rove’s Playbook?
HRC: 'Shame on you, Barack Obama' - Politico
The desperation in Camp Clinton is palpable.
Related: Clinton Presents 'The Republican Playbook', Clinton Campaign Hypocrisy 101, 2008 Presidential Race
The desperation in Camp Clinton is palpable.
Related: Clinton Presents 'The Republican Playbook', Clinton Campaign Hypocrisy 101, 2008 Presidential Race
Saturday, February 23, 2008
Tom DeLay Era Of Congressional Rule
Renzi and the Republicans - Wall Street Journal
Interestingly enough, Delay was making the rounds a week or two ago, denouncing McCain and his ideological impurity. It's my recollection that Delay had been properly dismissed, but there he is on all the cable channels, presented as a legitimate voice of Republicanism. Luckily for McCain, running as an anti-Delay Republican is a winning strategy.
Interestingly enough, Delay was making the rounds a week or two ago, denouncing McCain and his ideological impurity. It's my recollection that Delay had been properly dismissed, but there he is on all the cable channels, presented as a legitimate voice of Republicanism. Luckily for McCain, running as an anti-Delay Republican is a winning strategy.
Wednesday, February 20, 2008
Monday, February 18, 2008
The Cart Before The Horse
The prevailing political chatter, concerning the Democratic nomination, continues to focus on Texas and Ohio. "If (Clinton) loses either Texas or Ohio, this thing is done," said Clintonista James Carville. I've said much the same thing, but what's being forgotten by the punditry is Wisconsin.
If Obama wins in Wisconsin, I expect him to take one, if not both, of the major March 4th contests. Gone will be Clinton's argument about Obama only winning activist controlled caucuses, sparsely populated states, and states dominated by blacks who illogically vote for one of their own.
'Momentum' faded from the lexicon after failing to materialize after singular wins in traditional steam inducing states. After a string of decisive victories, Obama has big mo and, for Hillary, a win in Wisconsin can stunt it. The only other alternative for her is an exceedingly narrow loss followed by decimating him in the debates (unlikely unless he flubs).
If Obama wins in Wisconsin, I expect him to take one, if not both, of the major March 4th contests. Gone will be Clinton's argument about Obama only winning activist controlled caucuses, sparsely populated states, and states dominated by blacks who illogically vote for one of their own.
'Momentum' faded from the lexicon after failing to materialize after singular wins in traditional steam inducing states. After a string of decisive victories, Obama has big mo and, for Hillary, a win in Wisconsin can stunt it. The only other alternative for her is an exceedingly narrow loss followed by decimating him in the debates (unlikely unless he flubs).
Saturday, February 16, 2008
Crystalizing Obama
Obama: Most Liberal Senator In 2007
Obama's Waffle on Public Funding
Obama's Gloomy Big-Government Vision - Lawrence Kudlow
Obama's Iraq Record: A 'Fairy Tale'? - Michael Crowley
Obama Casts His Spell - Charles Krauthammer
The Candidate: Starring Barack Obama - Victor Davis Hanson
Obama's Waffle on Public Funding
Obama's Gloomy Big-Government Vision - Lawrence Kudlow
Obama's Iraq Record: A 'Fairy Tale'? - Michael Crowley
Obama Casts His Spell - Charles Krauthammer
The Candidate: Starring Barack Obama - Victor Davis Hanson
Friday, February 15, 2008
Thursday, February 14, 2008
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
Two Reads On Al-Qaeda In Iraq & Pelosi's Point Of View
Al-Qaeda leaders admit: 'We are in crisis. There is panic and fear'
Al-Qaida's PR Problem - Austin Bay
Pelosi calls Iraq a 'failure' - Mike Allen
Pelosi and Torture
Notice how the Democrats no longer refer to Iraq's 'civil war' but to its inadequate political progress. By the same standards, perhaps Democrats should abandon Congress because of their utter failure to implement the 6-In-06 agenda (we're still waiting for "the most difficult and important" recommendation of the 9/11 commission to be enacted).
Al-Qaida's PR Problem - Austin Bay
Pelosi calls Iraq a 'failure' - Mike Allen
Pelosi and Torture
Notice how the Democrats no longer refer to Iraq's 'civil war' but to its inadequate political progress. By the same standards, perhaps Democrats should abandon Congress because of their utter failure to implement the 6-In-06 agenda (we're still waiting for "the most difficult and important" recommendation of the 9/11 commission to be enacted).
Potomic Primary In A Nutshell
Complete Results
McCain was less than dominate in Virginia (a 9 point win) because independents flocked to a competitive Democratic race (in an overall sense) instead of attending a GOP anointment. Huckabee doesn't really have a chance at VP and, by extending a lost cause, he's hurting his standing within the party. Continuing on doesn't make him look like the heir apparent; it makes him look like a sore loser.
Clinton was thoroughly routed; Maryland was the closest contest and she lost there by 23 points. I've consistently hesitated to dismiss the resiliency of the Clinton machine but, if she doesn't win Wisconsin, her campaign may collapse. The latest Ohio poll shows her up by 17%, but the same poll shows Obama picking up 20 points in two weeks while closing the gap. After a month's worth of losses (assuming Obama prevails in Wisconsin), I expect that trend to continue. If she loses Ohio and Texas, it's all over.
McCain was less than dominate in Virginia (a 9 point win) because independents flocked to a competitive Democratic race (in an overall sense) instead of attending a GOP anointment. Huckabee doesn't really have a chance at VP and, by extending a lost cause, he's hurting his standing within the party. Continuing on doesn't make him look like the heir apparent; it makes him look like a sore loser.
Clinton was thoroughly routed; Maryland was the closest contest and she lost there by 23 points. I've consistently hesitated to dismiss the resiliency of the Clinton machine but, if she doesn't win Wisconsin, her campaign may collapse. The latest Ohio poll shows her up by 17%, but the same poll shows Obama picking up 20 points in two weeks while closing the gap. After a month's worth of losses (assuming Obama prevails in Wisconsin), I expect that trend to continue. If she loses Ohio and Texas, it's all over.
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
Possible GOP VP Nominees
My somewhat short list of possible nominees, offered in no particular order:
Charlie Crist
George Allen
Newt Gingrich
Matt Blunt
Rick Perry
JC Watts
Jim Nussle
Rob Portman
Sarah Palin
Mark Sanford
Jim DeMint
Mike Pence
Steve Forbes
Tim Pawlenty
Vin Weber
Tom Coburn
Condoleezza Rice
Richard Burr
Ken Blackwell
Mitt Romney
Marsha Blackburn
Haley Barbour
Michael Steele
Kay Bailey Hutchison
John Thune
Chris Cox
Bill Frist
Colin Powell
Bobby Jindal
Bob Corker
Charlie Crist
George Allen
Newt Gingrich
Matt Blunt
Rick Perry
JC Watts
Jim Nussle
Rob Portman
Sarah Palin
Mark Sanford
Jim DeMint
Mike Pence
Steve Forbes
Tim Pawlenty
Vin Weber
Tom Coburn
Condoleezza Rice
Richard Burr
Ken Blackwell
Mitt Romney
Marsha Blackburn
Haley Barbour
Michael Steele
Kay Bailey Hutchison
John Thune
Chris Cox
Bill Frist
Colin Powell
Bobby Jindal
Bob Corker
Thursday, February 07, 2008
Romney Drops Out & The Democrat Seesaw
Politico has a nice summation of Romney's campaign. I dismissed him about ten months ago, reaffirmed it two months after that, and saw through his nominal victory in Ames. Same for Huckabee; I was explaining his downfall at the height of his popularity.
If only the Democrats would play along (I favored Obama, then Clinton, and back again). Of course, this was all before any voting had occurred. At this point, I think Obama has to be the favorite (bad news for the GOP). Clinton can not wait until March 4 to win her next contest; she must win at least one of the contest on the 9th, 12th, or 19th, most likely Washington, Maryland, or Wisconsin.
Early December Analysis: Republicans, Democrats (Right on the money!)
If only the Democrats would play along (I favored Obama, then Clinton, and back again). Of course, this was all before any voting had occurred. At this point, I think Obama has to be the favorite (bad news for the GOP). Clinton can not wait until March 4 to win her next contest; she must win at least one of the contest on the 9th, 12th, or 19th, most likely Washington, Maryland, or Wisconsin.
Early December Analysis: Republicans, Democrats (Right on the money!)
Wednesday, February 06, 2008
Super Tuesday: 18 For 21
Complete Results
My predictions going into Super Tuesday where somewhat of a "worst case for McCain" but he had a very good night. He has virtually wrapped up the nomination after winning nine of twenty-one races in a three man heat. More importantly, he holds a commanding lead (360*) in delegates.
Conversely, Romney had a devastating night despite winning seven races. While McCain faired better than expected in Tennessee, Georgia, Alabama, Oklahoma and bellwether Missouri (he won the last two), Romney's claim of being the "true conservative" was undercut by finishing third in each of these contests. It's impossible to position yourself as the epitome of conservatism when finishing last in claret states.
Huckabee had a fine night considering the frugal campaign he's been forced to run. He did confirm the fact that he is a sectional candidate, appealing most to Southerners, bible-thumpers, and states with flagging economies. He's positioned himself for a position within McCain's administration (Secretary of the Interior, maybe?) but, as far as continuing to mount a challenge, he's in worse shape than Romney because he doesn't have Mitt's wallet.
Bottomline: my picks were off in Minnesota, Missouri, and Oklahoma, but my conclusion was spot on; McCain will be the GOP nominee. The Dem race will drag on.
*UPDATE: As delegates have been apportioned, McCain's lead has grown. When it's all said and done, the lead will be virtually insurmountable.
My predictions going into Super Tuesday where somewhat of a "worst case for McCain" but he had a very good night. He has virtually wrapped up the nomination after winning nine of twenty-one races in a three man heat. More importantly, he holds a commanding lead (360*) in delegates.
Conversely, Romney had a devastating night despite winning seven races. While McCain faired better than expected in Tennessee, Georgia, Alabama, Oklahoma and bellwether Missouri (he won the last two), Romney's claim of being the "true conservative" was undercut by finishing third in each of these contests. It's impossible to position yourself as the epitome of conservatism when finishing last in claret states.
Huckabee had a fine night considering the frugal campaign he's been forced to run. He did confirm the fact that he is a sectional candidate, appealing most to Southerners, bible-thumpers, and states with flagging economies. He's positioned himself for a position within McCain's administration (Secretary of the Interior, maybe?) but, as far as continuing to mount a challenge, he's in worse shape than Romney because he doesn't have Mitt's wallet.
Bottomline: my picks were off in Minnesota, Missouri, and Oklahoma, but my conclusion was spot on; McCain will be the GOP nominee. The Dem race will drag on.
*UPDATE: As delegates have been apportioned, McCain's lead has grown. When it's all said and done, the lead will be virtually insurmountable.
Tuesday, February 05, 2008
New Jersey Toll Hikes
Gov. Corzine is at it again, placing the burden of state excess on the backs of taxpayers instead of cutting wasteful spending.
Check out NoNewTolls.com and sign the petition or contact Gov. Corzine directly.
Check out NoNewTolls.com and sign the petition or contact Gov. Corzine directly.
1 For 1: West Virginia Goes To Huckabee
It's been reported that McCain supporters defected to Huckabee in an effort to deny Romney victory. Huckabee takes all 18 delegates and my predictions are 1 for 1, so far.
New York Giants - Super Bowl Champions
Eli Manning led the New York Giants on an historic fourth quarter drive to win the Super Bowl over a previously undefeated New England Patriot team. As I said after the 2005 season, as Eli goes, so go the Giants. Some criticized his inanimate demeanor, but his calm under pressure was evident from the beginning of his career. While, at times, struggling with mundane throws, Manning showed his penchant for fourth quarter heroics in October of 2005.
Friday, February 01, 2008
McCain Derangement Syndrome & School Vouchers
Has Coulter Finally Jumped the Shark? - Ed Morrissey
School Voucher Foes Hurt Poor Kids - Steve Huntley
School Voucher Foes Hurt Poor Kids - Steve Huntley
Thursday, January 31, 2008
Three Reads On The 2008 Race
Simi Valley Showdown - Stephen Hayes
Republicans Unite; Dems Divide - Michael Barone
Dems Want to Lose; GOP Doesn't Want to Win - Victor Davis Hanson
Republicans Unite; Dems Divide - Michael Barone
Dems Want to Lose; GOP Doesn't Want to Win - Victor Davis Hanson
Wednesday, January 30, 2008
Why McCain Will Win
Looking ahead to Super Tuesday:
I've already said an exceptional day for Huckabee sees him taking Arkansas, Alabama, Georgia, Missouri, Tennessee, and West Virginia. Romney definitely takes Massachusetts and Utah and, with everything breaking his way, Colorado, Montana, North Dakota, Alaska, and Oklahoma (though Tom Coburn is supporting McCain and is curiously forgotten when he's burnishing his conservative bona fides in debates). That leaves McCain Connecticut (supported by Lieberman), New York (supported by Giuliani), New Jersey, Delaware, Minnesota, Illinois, Arizona, and California (supported by Schwarzenegger).
That means Huckabee takes six states, Romney seven, and McCain eight. More importantly, McCain finishes with a huge delegate advantage. Unless Romney picks off Illinois, New Jersey, New York, or California from McCain, or Huckabee slips in the South, losing Missouri or Georgia, the race is all but over. The only other chance for Romney is Huckabee's withdrawal and endorsement (not bloody likely).
Republicans want to win control of at least one part of government, don't they?
I've already said an exceptional day for Huckabee sees him taking Arkansas, Alabama, Georgia, Missouri, Tennessee, and West Virginia. Romney definitely takes Massachusetts and Utah and, with everything breaking his way, Colorado, Montana, North Dakota, Alaska, and Oklahoma (though Tom Coburn is supporting McCain and is curiously forgotten when he's burnishing his conservative bona fides in debates). That leaves McCain Connecticut (supported by Lieberman), New York (supported by Giuliani), New Jersey, Delaware, Minnesota, Illinois, Arizona, and California (supported by Schwarzenegger).
That means Huckabee takes six states, Romney seven, and McCain eight. More importantly, McCain finishes with a huge delegate advantage. Unless Romney picks off Illinois, New Jersey, New York, or California from McCain, or Huckabee slips in the South, losing Missouri or Georgia, the race is all but over. The only other chance for Romney is Huckabee's withdrawal and endorsement (not bloody likely).
Republicans want to win control of at least one part of government, don't they?
The Final Four & Predictions
There are only four serious candidates remaining in the 2008 presidential race: John McCain, Mitt Romney, Hillary Clinton, and Barack Obama. I think the Democrat race has more potential for an upset, but it still seems like Clinton will win. She'll nullify a humiliating loss in South Carolina by touting a meaningless (delegate-wise) win in Florida and February 5 will strengthen her, if not cripple Obama. For the GOP, McCain has momentum and Romney, while supported by institutionalists like Limbaugh, is loathed by those who've run against him. I fail to see how anyone of principle supports Romney (his 1994 campaign ring a bell?) as he seems distinctly chameleon to me.
As for Congress, the GOP just has to defend too many Senate seats to gain ground and general stagnancy hasn't yet allowed House Democrats to shoot themselves in the foot. Don't get me wrong, they've passed plenty of harebrained pieces of legislation but almost every one was mere symbolism, appealing to the fringe of the base.
The General: McCain v. Clinton
Results: GOP keeps the White House, Democrats retain Congress.
As for Congress, the GOP just has to defend too many Senate seats to gain ground and general stagnancy hasn't yet allowed House Democrats to shoot themselves in the foot. Don't get me wrong, they've passed plenty of harebrained pieces of legislation but almost every one was mere symbolism, appealing to the fringe of the base.
The General: McCain v. Clinton
Results: GOP keeps the White House, Democrats retain Congress.
Florida: Right On The Money
Complete Results
Giuliani folded and is endorsing McCain, who won with a slightly larger margin than I thought possible (by 5%). Huckabee will stick around and so will Romney, but both are treading water. I'll repeat my prediction from yesterday: McCain will be the Republican nominee.
Giuliani folded and is endorsing McCain, who won with a slightly larger margin than I thought possible (by 5%). Huckabee will stick around and so will Romney, but both are treading water. I'll repeat my prediction from yesterday: McCain will be the Republican nominee.
Tuesday, January 29, 2008
Predictions: Florida
The GOP primary could be decisive in multiple ways. If Giuliani loses by more than 5-7 points, he may pack up his tent and leave the race. He can afford to wait until after February 5, but I doubt his pride will allow it if he's thoroughly drummed (again) tonight. He staked his future to this state. Losing here, then possibly in New York, where he had a twenty point lead two months ago, would be too much for his ego and damage his future prospects (public or private). If he finishes behind Huckabee, he'll drop out tonight.
Huckabee is basically a non-factor here, playing for third as his numbers have sunk with Giuliani's in parallel (though for different reasons). He'll press on and hope for a strong February 5 showing but, by my estimation, even that won't be enough to give his campaign credibility. Under ideal circumstances, he'll take Arkansas, Alabama, Georgia, Missouri, Tennessee, and West Virginia with one or two (at best) states available thereafter. Huckabee went farther than many thought possible (including myself), but he's playing the part of John Edwards in the Republican race (playing for a role at the convention and an administerial position).
The Main Event: I think it all comes down to these two men, not only in Florida but the rest of the way. If John McCain wins tonight, which he should considering the two major state Republicans endorsing him, he will be the Republican nominee. If Mitt Romney wins, February 5 will be a free for all, with Romney holding the edge in resources. I stand by my remarks from last April, and state now that Romney's run has warranted serious consideration for VP, though the race's acrimony probably eliminates that possibility.
Prediction: McCain by a nose (2-4 points) over Romney, Giuliani in third, followed by Huckabee and Paul bringing up the rear.
Huckabee is basically a non-factor here, playing for third as his numbers have sunk with Giuliani's in parallel (though for different reasons). He'll press on and hope for a strong February 5 showing but, by my estimation, even that won't be enough to give his campaign credibility. Under ideal circumstances, he'll take Arkansas, Alabama, Georgia, Missouri, Tennessee, and West Virginia with one or two (at best) states available thereafter. Huckabee went farther than many thought possible (including myself), but he's playing the part of John Edwards in the Republican race (playing for a role at the convention and an administerial position).
The Main Event: I think it all comes down to these two men, not only in Florida but the rest of the way. If John McCain wins tonight, which he should considering the two major state Republicans endorsing him, he will be the Republican nominee. If Mitt Romney wins, February 5 will be a free for all, with Romney holding the edge in resources. I stand by my remarks from last April, and state now that Romney's run has warranted serious consideration for VP, though the race's acrimony probably eliminates that possibility.
Prediction: McCain by a nose (2-4 points) over Romney, Giuliani in third, followed by Huckabee and Paul bringing up the rear.
Monday, January 28, 2008
The McCain & Romney Tiff, Clintons Using Race, President Bush & The Surge
McCain is Right, Romney Hedged on Iraq - Stephen Hayes
Clintons & the Race Card: Who's Surprised? - Christopher Hitchens
How Bush Decided on the Surge - Fred Barnes
Clintons & the Race Card: Who's Surprised? - Christopher Hitchens
How Bush Decided on the Surge - Fred Barnes
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
Posts
